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Seasonal, annual, and spatial variation in cereal prices in Sub-Saharan Africa
| Creador: | Bonilla Cedrez, C. |
| Creador: | Chamberlin, J. |
| Creador: | Hijmans, R.J. |
| Año: | 2020 |
| URI: | https://hdl.handle.net/10883/20970 |
| Formato: | |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Editor: | Elsevier |
| Copyright: | CIMMYT manages Intellectual Assets as International Public Goods. The user is free to download, print, store and share this work. In case you want to translate or create any other derivative work and share or distribute such translation/derivative work, please contact CIMMYT-Knowledge-Center@cgiar.org indicating the work you want to use and the kind of use you intend; CIMMYT will contact you with the suitable license for that purpose |
| Tipo: | Article |
| País de enfoque: | Africa South of Sahara |
| Lugar de publicación: | Amsterdam (Netherlands) |
| Volumen: | 26 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100438 |
| Palabras Claves: | Prediction |
| Descripción: | Local food prices are key indicators of food security and market conditions. Yet price data are often not available, particularly for rural areas of Sub-Saharan Africa. We compiled data from 168 markets to study spatial and temporal price variation. We found that prices slightly increase when the preceding growing season was dry. Across the continent, there is pronounced seasonal variation, with lowest prices 2–3 months after harvest and highest prices just before harvest. A predictive model explained 42% of the spatial variation in prices. Our results show that spatial and temporal price variation can be generalized and that prices can be estimated for unsampled locations or months. Such estimates may be used to improve the targeting of food security interventions and strengthen empirical policy-oriented research. |
| Agrovoc: | FOOD PRICES |
| Agrovoc: | DROUGHT |
| Agrovoc: | SEASONALITY |
| Agrovoc: | FORECASTING |
| Agrovoc: | CEREALS |
| Datasets relacionados: | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211912420300924?via%3Dihub#appsec1 |
| ISSN: | 2211-9124 |
| Revista: | Global Food Security |
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Socioeconomics
Including topics such as farming systems, markets, impact & targeting, innovations, and GIS