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Challenges and responses to ongoing and projected climate change for dryland cereal production systems throughout the world

Author: O’Leary, G.J.
Author: Aggarwal, P.K.
Author: Calderini, D.F.
Author: Connor, D.J.
Author: Craufurd, P.
Author: Eigenbrode, S.D.
Author: Xue Han
Author: Hatfield, J.L.
Year: 2018
ISSN: ISSN: 2073-4395
URI: https://hdl.handle.net/10883/20025
Abstract: Since the introduction of mechanized production in both developed and developing countries, crops and their management have undergone significant adaptation resulting in increased productivity. Historical yield increases in wheat have occurred across most regions of the world (20–88 kg ha−1 year−1 ), but climate trends threaten to dampen or reverse these gains such that yields are expected to decrease by 5–6% despite rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Current and projected climatic factors are temporally and spatially variable in dryland cereal production systems throughout the world. Productivity gains in wheat in some locations have been achieved from traditional agronomic practices and breeding. Continued improvement in all cereal production regions and locations of the world requires technical advances, including closer monitoring of soils, water conservation strategies, and multiple sowing times using different crops to reduce risks. The management of disease, pests, and weeds will be an added challenge, especially in areas of higher precipitation. Excellent progress has been achieved in Asia and there is much potential in Sub-Saharan Africa. Technical solutions seem within our grasp but must be implemented in the context of variable social, economic, regulatory, and administrative constraints, providing opportunities for cross fertilization and global collaboration to meet them.
Format: PDF
Language: English
Publisher: MDPI
Copyright: CIMMYT manages Intellectual Assets as International Public Goods. The user is free to download, print, store and share this work. In case you want to translate or create any other derivative work and share or distribute such translation/derivative work, please contact CIMMYT-Knowledge-Center@cgiar.org indicating the work you want to use and the kind of use you intend; CIMMYT will contact you with the suitable license for that purpose.
Type: Article
Place of Publication: Basel, Switzerland
Issue: 4
Issue: art. 34
Volume: 8
DOI: 10.3390/agronomy8040034
Keywords: Global Production
Agrovoc: CROP MODELLING
Agrovoc: SUSTAINABILITY
Agrovoc: PRODUCTIVITY
Journal: Agronomy


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  • Sustainable Intensification
    Sustainable intensification agriculture including topics on cropping systems, agronomy, soil, mechanization, precision agriculture, etc.

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