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Kruseman, G.

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Kruseman
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Kruseman, G.
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0000-0002-3392-4176

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AGROVOC: FOOD SECURITY ×

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Now showing 1 - 8 of 8
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    Projecting wheat demand in China and India for 2030 and 2050: Implications for food security
    (Frontiers Media S.A., 2023) Mottaleb, K.A.; Kruseman, G.; Frija, A.; Sonder, K.; Lopez-Ridaura, S.
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    Exploring opportunities around climate-smart breeding for future food and nutrition security
    (CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), 2019) Balié, J.; Cramer, L.; Friedmann, M.; Gotor, E.; Jones, C.S.; Kozicka, M.; Kruseman, G.; Notenbaert, A.; Place, F.; Rebolledo, C.; Thornton, P.; Wiebe, K.
    Foresight activities that include participatory processes as well as careful analysis can help address the great uncertainties concerning the future of food systems and the role of crop and livestock breeding. There would be big benefits to designing and carrying out a process to develop and support a value proposition for future CGIAR breeding activities. More multi-disciplinary team approaches are needed to work on trait prioritization for CGIAR and partners, embedded within a systems approach. Participatory methods to characterize stakeholders’ needs and preferences are crucial to ensure that new varieties fulfil their expectations in highly dynamic market environments.
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    Economic benefits of blast-resistant biofortified wheat in Bangladesh: the case of BARI Gom 33
    (Elsevier, 2019) Mottaleb, K.A.; Velu, G.; Singh, P.K.; Sonder, K.; Xinyao He; Singh, R.P.; Joshi, A.K.; Barma, N.C.D.; Kruseman, G.; Erenstein, O.
    The first occurrence of wheat blast in 2016 threatened Bangladesh's already precarious food security situation. The Bangladesh Agricultural Research Institute (BARI), together with the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) developed and released the wheat variety BARI Gom 33 that is resistant to wheat blast and other common diseases. The new variety provides a 5–8% yield gain over the available popular varieties, as well as being zinc enriched. This study examines the potential economic benefits of BARI Gom 33 in Bangladesh. First, applying a climate analogue model, this study identified that more than 55% of the total wheat-growing area in Bangladesh (across 45 districts) is vulnerable to wheat blast. Second, applying an ex-ante impact assessment framework, this study shows that with an assumed cumulative adoption starting from 2019–20 and increasing to 30% by 2027–28, the potential economic benefits of the newly developed wheat variety far exceeds its dissemination cost by 2029–30. Even if dissemination of the new wheat variety is limited to only the ten currently blast-affected districts, the yearly average net benefits could amount to USD 0.23–1.6 million. Based on the findings, international funder agencies are urged to support the national system in scaling out the new wheat variety and wheat research in general to ensure overall food security in Bangladesh and South Asia.
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    Milling Quality: The Achilles Heel of Cereal Foresight Studies?
    (CIMMYT, 2018) Kruseman, G.; Sonder, K.; Guzman, C.; Pequeno, D.N.L.
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    Threat of wheat blast to South Asia’s food security: an ex-ante analysis
    (Public Library of Science, 2018) Mottaleb, K.A.; Singh, P.K.; Sonder, K.; Kruseman, G.; Tiwari, T.P.; Barma, N.C.D.; Malaker, P.K.; Braun, H.J.; Erenstein, O.
    New biotic stresses have emerged around the globe over the last decades threatening food safety and security. In 2016, scientists confirmed the presence of the devastating wheat-blast disease in Bangladesh, South Asia?its first occurrence outside South America. Severely blast-affected wheat fields had their grain yield wiped out. This poses a severe threat to food security in a densely-populated region with millions of poor inhabitants where wheat is a major staple crop and per capita wheat consumption has been increasing. As an ex ante impact assessment, this study examined potential wheat-blast scenarios in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. Based on the agro-climatic conditions in the epicenter, where the disease was first identified in Bangladesh in 2016, this study identified the correspondingly vulnerable areas in India, Pakistan and Bangladesh amounting to 7 million ha. Assuming a conservative scenario of 5?10% for blast-induced wheat production loss, this study estimated the annual potential wheat loss across the sampled countries to be 0.89?1.77 million tons, equivalent to USD 132?264 million. Such losses further threaten an already-precarious national food security, putting pressure on wheat imports and wheat prices. The study is a call for action to tackle the real wheat-blast threat in South Asia. © 2018 Mottaleb et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
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    Threats of tar spot complex disease of maize in the United States of America and its global consequences
    (Springer Verlag, 2019) Mottaleb, K.A.; Loladze, A.; Sonder, K.; Kruseman, G.; San Vicente Garcia, F.M.
    The emergence and spread of new crop diseases threatens the global food security situation. Phyllachora maydis, one of the three fungal pathogens involved in Tar Spot Complex (TSC) of maize, a disease native to Latin American countries, was detected for the first time in the United States of America (USA) in 2015. Although TSC has been previously reported to cause up to 50% of yield losses in maize in Latin America, the impact of P. maydis alone on maize yield is not known yet. However, there is a possibility that Monographella maydis, the second most important pathogen involved in TSC, would be introduced to the USA and would become associated with P. maydis and both pathogens could form the devastating complex disease in the country. The first objective of this study was to identify the TSC-vulnerable maize-producing regions across the USA by applying a climate homologue modeling procedure. The second objective was to quantify the potential economic impact of the disease on the maize industry in the USA. This study showed that even a 1% loss in maize production caused by the disease could potentially lead to a reduction in maize production by 1.5 million metric tons of grain worth US$231.6 million. Such production losses will affect not only the maize-related industries in the USA but also the food security in a number of low-income countries that are heavily dependent on US maize imports. This, in turn, may lead to increased poverty and starvation and, in some cases, to social unrest due to increased prices of maize-based staple foods. The study is intended to raise public awareness regarding potential TSC outbreaks and to develop strategies and action plans for such scenarios.
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